Astral Codex Ten | Scott Alexander | Substack

Ye Olde Bay Area House Party

14 hrs ago

Updates on Lumina Probiotic

Apr 16

Open Thread 325

Apr 15

ACX Classifieds 4/24

Apr 11

Highlights From The Comments On The Lab Leak Debate

Apr 9

Open Thread 324

Apr 8

Links For April 2024

Apr 4

Open Thread 323

Apr 1

Astral Codex Ten

Astral Codex Ten

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

Recommendations

The Intrinsic Perspective

Erik Hoel

Silver Bulletin

Nate Silver

Maxim Lott

Cremieux Recueil

Cremieux

David Hugh-Jones

Community

Blogroll

Marginal Revolution

Effective Altruism Forum

Astral Codex Ten

About Archive Recommendations Sitemap

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts