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CPI Reading May Not Matter in Light of Bank Brouhaha
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CPI Reading May Not Matter in Light of Bank Brouhaha

Stock futures are up a bit led by banks as bond prices drop again ahead of the latest (dated) inflation data…

Good morning contrarians! It is Tuesday, March 14.

Yesterday was highly volatile a day after the shocking weekend rescue of Signature Bank of New York (SBNY 0.00%↑) and Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB 0.00%↑). Major stock indexes managed to finish roughly unchanged though the Russell 2000 which tracks small caps was an outlier, dropping by 1.5%. Bank stocks got beat up and trading was halted in several regional banks at various points during the day. The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE 0.00%↑) finished 12% lower after all was said and done.

State of Play

As of 0630 things are a little all over the place:

  • Stock futures are pointing to gains, led by the Russell (+1%). Banks are among big gainers, with First Republic (FRC 0.00%↑) up 20% in the pre-market;

  • Bonds are dropping again, especially at the short end of the curve. The yield on the 2-year is up 20 basis points to 4.23%. The 10-year is up 9bps to 3.61% (yields move inversely to prices);

  • Cryptos are continuing their improbable ascent, with Bitcoin up 11% to trade north of $24,000;

  • Commodities are retreating, with WTI crude oil down almost 3% to trade around $73/barrel and copper down <1%. Gold and silver are down a bit after rallying yesterday.

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The daily podcast discusses the major market activity and economic data release schedule for the day ahead, with a contrarian bent. Also includes regular podcast episodes a day (or more) early and without ads or announcements.